Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AKT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-05 0.672589 0.789305 0.915719 1.062260 1.226888 1.405550 1.613520
2025-10-12 0.484753 0.645784 0.837450 1.079638 1.374551 1.718990 2.148440
2025-10-19 0.353820 0.531265 0.761596 1.075590 1.484914 1.992483 2.660608
2025-10-26 0.258356 0.435496 0.685002 1.049354 1.553520 2.211294 3.116861
2025-11-02 0.200151 0.375565 0.641584 1.054087 1.654452 2.471279 3.637284
2025-11-09 0.149208 0.312855 0.580270 1.020016 1.691527 2.641479 4.043073
2025-11-16 0.118825 0.275889 0.550309 1.025195 1.780498 2.884143 4.557050
2025-11-23 0.093618 0.241191 0.516806 1.017922 1.846260 3.093616 5.031732
2025-11-30 0.080319 0.226200 0.514300 1.059669 1.989378 3.422970 5.693759
2025-12-07 0.067341 0.208141 0.502544 1.082756 2.102249 3.710794 6.306154
2025-12-14 0.052219 0.180308 0.466511 1.056932 2.129892 3.865986 6.723824
2025-12-21 0.044270 0.167713 0.458905 1.081913 2.244368 4.162284 7.368234
2025-12-28 0.037016 0.154971 0.449570 1.103992 2.358192 4.468318 8.049789
2026-01-04 0.030646 0.142489 0.438646 1.121747 2.465923 4.770916 8.741244
2026-01-11 0.024310 0.127335 0.418370 1.117506 2.532383 5.007673 9.337351
2026-01-18 0.018330 0.110225 0.389362 1.090429 2.552682 5.165843 9.811232
2026-01-25 0.014700 0.099999 0.375885 1.095298 2.633875 5.431830 10.471637
2026-02-01 0.010709 0.085426 0.346777 1.060162 2.632287 5.550903 10.889926
2026-02-08 0.008528 0.077741 0.335657 1.065501 2.711750 5.816790 11.564072
2026-02-15 0.006540 0.069359 0.320220 1.058000 2.763463 6.033839 12.161456
2026-02-22 0.005717 0.067273 0.324683 1.101044 2.924324 6.457853 13.130155
2026-03-01 0.004742 0.063309 0.321879 1.124844 3.045151 6.811885 13.987446
2026-03-08 0.003398 0.054926 0.301134 1.098223 3.053800 6.954813 14.477451